Harris da Trump Kusa Koda Matsala a Yin Fare Kamar yadda Jita-jita na Zamba ta ci gaba

Dan takarar Democrat Kamala Harris ya rage wa abokin hamayyar Republican Donald Trump jagora akan dandamalin yin fare na tushen toshe Polymarket, yana nuna rashin tabbas yayin da Ranar Zabe.

Rashin daidaiton Polymarket na Trump ya kasance sama da alkaluman kada kuri'a, duk da haka Harris ya samu karbuwa a 'yan kwanakin nan. A kan wannan kasuwa, masu amfani suna yin hasashe kan sakamako ta hanyar siyan "hannun jari" da aka ɗaure da takamaiman sakamako, tare da kowane rabon da ya kai USDC 1 idan sakamakon ya tabbata. Farashin 60-cent don rabon "Ee" akan wani taron yana nuna yiwuwar faruwar 60%, bisa fassarar kasuwa.

Rikicin zaben Harris a kasuwar Polymarket ya haura sama da cents 44 a kowace kaso gabanin kidayar kuri'un ranar Talata, sama da centi 33 a ranar 30 ga Oktoba. Hannun jarin Trump sun ragu a lokaci guda daga cents 66 zuwa 55. A halin da ake ciki, bayanai daga Siyasa bayyanannen gaskiya sun nuna cewa Trump yana da gefen jefa kuri'a a kashi 48.5% zuwa 48.4%, wanda ke nuna tseren gasa sosai.

Har ila yau, harkokin kasuwa ya tsananta. Polymarket ya sami karuwa a cikin fare masu ƙima, tare da cinikin da ya haura $10,000 da $100,000 suna tashi sosai a ƙarshen mako. Manya-manyan masu ruwa da tsaki a cikin hannun jarin Harris da Trump sun fara sauke matsayinsu, mai yuwuwa suna samun riba daga hauhawar farashin kwanan nan.

Haɓaka a cikin rashin daidaito na Harris na iya yin nuni da yanayin shinge, yayin da 'yan kasuwa ke sanya fare na kariya akan kamfen ɗinta tare da saka hannun jari a Trump, a cewar wani bincike na CoinDesk. Yin bita kan manyan sana'o'i ya nuna dabarun dabarun da wasu mahalarta taron suka yi don rage asara idan Trump bai yi kasa a gwiwa ba a ranar zabe.

Rahotannin da ke tashe na zargin kura-kuran da aka yi, wadanda suka fi nuna goyon bayan 'yan Democrat, sun kara karfin yin caca. Hasashe a kusa da yiwuwar "zamba na masu jefa kuri'a" a kan kafofin watsa labarun na iya yin tasiri ga waɗannan sauye-sauye, yayin da jita-jita ke ci gaba da yaduwa a kan dandamali kamar X. Ma'aikacin siyasa mai tasiri 'Domer' ya yi la'akari da waɗannan ci gaba a ranar Lahadi, yana ba Harris damar samun 55-60% na nasara. fadar shugaban kasa, da sanya bayanai a cikin bayanan kada kuri'a na baya-bayan nan da kuma halayen kada kuri'a da wuri.

Bugu da kari, al'amuran al'umma a farkon kada kuri'a sun nuna fitowar 'yan Republican da ba a saba gani ba. Wannan yanayin, idan yana nuni da sauye-sauyen dabaru, na iya ba da shawarar sauyin halayen masu jefa ƙuri'a wanda zaɓen gargajiya ya yi ƙoƙarin kamawa.

A ƙarshe, binciken zaɓe na bayan-2020 ya nuna cewa 'yan Republican sun gaza cika tsammanin a cikin sauye-sauyen kwanan nan duk da ƙarancin amincewar Shugaba Joe Biden. Wannan cire haɗin kai tsakanin jefa ƙuri'a da sakamako na iya zama tura 'yan kasuwa akan Polymarket don yin lissafin fa'ida, ƙarancin ra'ayoyin zaɓe.

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