Abubuwan tattalin arziki masu zuwa 2 Disamba 2024

Lokaci (GMT+0/UTC+0)	Jihar	Muhimmanci	Event	forecast	Previous
00:30		2 maki	Amincewa da Gina (MoM) (Oktoba)	1.2%	4.4%
00:30		2 maki	Babban Ribar Aiki na Kamfanin (QoQ) (Q3)	0.6%	-5.3%
01:30		2 maki	Kasuwancin Kasuwanci (MoM) (Oktoba)	0.4%	0.1%
01:45		2 maki	Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba)	50.6	50.3
09:00		2 maki	HCOB Yuro Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba)	45.2	46.0
10:00		2 maki	Shugaban ECB Lagarde yayi magana	---	---
10:00		2 maki	Yawan Rashin Aikin yi (Oktoba)	6.3%	6.3%
14:45		3 maki	S&P Global Manufacturing US PMI (Nuwamba)	48.8	48.5
15:00		2 maki	Kudin Gina (MoM) (Oktoba)	0.2%	0.1%
15:00		2 maki	Ayyukan Masana'antar ISM (Nuwamba)	---	44.4
15:00		3 maki	ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba)	47.7	46.5
15:00		3 maki	Farashin Manufacturing ISM (Nuwamba)	55.2	54.8
20:15		2 maki	Fed Waller yayi Magana	---	---
20:30		2 maki	CFTC Crude Oil speculative net matsayi	---	193.9K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC Gold speculative net matsayi	---	234.4K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net matsayi	---	19.8K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC S&P 500 speculative net matsayi	---	34.9K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC AUD speculative net matsayi	---	31.6K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC JPY speculative net matsayi	---	-46.9K
20:30		2 maki	CFTC EUR speculative net matsayi	---	-42.6K
21:30		2 maki	Memba na FOMC Williams Yayi Magana	---	---

Takaitacciyar Abubuwan Tattalin Arziƙi masu zuwa akan Disamba 2, 2024

1. Bayanan tattalin arzikin Ostiraliya (00:30-01:30 UTC):
   • Amincewa da Gina (MoM) (Oktoba): Hasashen: 1.2%, Na baya: 4.4%.
     Yana auna canje-canje a cikin adadin sabbin ayyukan ginin da aka amince da su. Ƙananan adadi na iya yin la'akari da AUD, yayin da ƙaƙƙarfan yarda zai nuna alamar juriya a cikin gine-gine.
   • Babban Ribar Aiki na Kamfanin (QoQ) (Q3): Hasashen: 0.6%, Na baya: -5.3%.
     Yana nuna ribar kamfani. Komawa zai goyi bayan AUD, yana nuna haɓakar tattalin arziki.
   • Kasuwancin Kasuwanci (MoM) (Oktoba): Hasashen: 0.4%, Na baya: 0.1%.
     Haɓaka tallace-tallacen tallace-tallace suna ba da shawarar buƙatun mabukaci mai ƙarfi, tallafawa AUD, yayin da ƙarancin ƙididdigewa zai nuna taka tsantsan tsakanin masu amfani.
2. China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba) (01:45 UTC):
   • Hasashen: 50.6, Na baya: 50.3.
     Wani karatu sama da 50 yana nuna haɓakawa a masana'antu. Bayanai masu ƙarfi za su goyi bayan CNY kuma suna haɓaka tunanin haɗari a duniya, yayin da ƙarancin bayanai zai nuna raguwar ayyukan.
3. Bayanan Tattalin Arzikin Yankin Yuro (09:00-10:00 UTC):
   • HCOB Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba): Hasashen: 45.2, Gaba: 46.0.
     PMI da ke ƙasa da 50 yana nuna raguwa. Mutum mai rauni zai iya yin la'akari akan EUR, yayin da haɓakawa yana nuna yiwuwar dawowa.
   • Yawan Rashin Aikin Yi (Oktoba): Hasashen: 6.3%, Na baya: 6.3%.
     Rashin aikin yi mai tsauri yana nuna kasuwar aiki mai juriya, yana tallafawa EUR.
   • Shugabar ECB Lagarde Yayi Magana (10:00 UTC):
     Kalaman Hawkish za su goyi bayan EUR ta hanyar ƙarfafa tsammanin tsammanin, yayin da maganganun dovish na iya sassauta kuɗin.
4. Bayanan Masana'antu da Ginin Amurka (14:45–15:00 UTC):
   • PMI Manufacturing Duniya na S&P (Nuwamba): Hasashen: 48.8, Gaba: 48.5.
   • ISM Manufacturing PMI (Nuwamba): Hasashen: 47.7, Gaba: 46.5.
   • Farashin Manufacturing ISM (Nuwamba): Hasashen: 55.2, Gaba: 54.8.
   • Kudaden Gina (MoM) (Oktoba): Hasashen: 0.2%, Na baya: 0.1%.
     Haɓakawa a masana'antar PMI ko kashe kuɗin gini zai nuna ƙarfin tattalin arziki, yana tallafawa USD. Ƙarin raguwa a cikin PMI ko ƙididdiga masu rauni na iya yin la'akari akan kudin.
5. Matsayin Hasashen CFTC (20:30 UTC):
   • Bibiyar hasashe a ciki man fetur, zinariya, equities, Da kuma manyan kudade.
     Canje-canje a cikin matsayi na yanar gizo suna nuna sauye-sauye a cikin tunanin kasuwa da abubuwan da ke gaba.
6. Sharhin Fed (20:15 & 21:30 UTC):
   • Fed Waller Yayi Magana (20:15 UTC): Abubuwan da ke cikin tsarin manufofin Fed.
   • Memba na FOMC Williams Yayi Magana (21:30 UTC): Zai iya yin tasiri ga tsammanin hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da hanyoyin ƙimar riba. Sautunan Hawkish za su goyi bayan USD, yayin da maganganun dovish na iya yin la'akari da shi.

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Binciken Tasirin Kasuwa

• Bayanan Australiya:
  Sake dawo da ribar kamfanoni, tallace-tallace mafi girma, ko amincewar gine-gine mai ƙarfi zai tallafa wa AUD, yana nuna alamar farfadowar tattalin arziki. Raunan bayanai na iya ɓata rai.
• Masana'antar China PMI:
  Ƙarfafa karatu zai goyi bayan ra'ayin haɗari na duniya da kuma kayayyaki masu alaƙa kamar AUD, yayin da ƙananan bayanai na iya nuna raguwar buƙatar duniya.
• Bayanan Tarayyar Turai & Jawabin Lagarde:
  PMI mai ƙarfi ko bayanan rashin aikin yi da sharhin ECB na hawkish zai goyi bayan EUR. Ƙididdiga masu ƙarancin ƙima ko maganganun dovish na iya yin nauyi akan kuɗin.
• Bayanan Masana'antu na Amurka & Sharhin Fed:
  Juriya a cikin ISM da S&P PMI, kashe kuɗin gini, ko sharhin Fed na hawkish zai ƙarfafa ƙarfin USD. Rawanin bayanai ko maganganun dovish na iya tausasa kuɗin.

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Gabaɗaya Tasiri

Volatility:
Matsakaici zuwa babba, tare da mai da hankali kan bayanan masana'antu na duniya, sharhin ECB da Fed, da alkaluman masana'antu masu alaƙa da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na Amurka.

Sakamakon Tasiri: 7/10, tare da mahimmin tasiri daga PMI na kasar Sin, bayanan masana'antu da gine-gine na Amurka, da sharhin babban bankin tsakiya wanda ke tsara tunanin kasuwa na gajeren lokaci.