Abubuwan tattalin arziki masu zuwa 13 Nuwamba 2024

Lokaci (GMT+0/UTC+0)	Jihar	Muhimmanci	Event	forecast	Previous
00:30		2 maki	Fihirisar Farashin Ma'aikata (QoQ) (Q3)	0.9%	0.8%
08:00		2 maki	Taron manufofin Babban Bankin Turai	---	---
13:30		2 maki	Core CPI (YoY) (Oktoba)	3.3%	3.3%
13:30		2 maki	Core CPI (MoM) (Oktoba)	0.3%	0.3%
13:30		2 maki	CPI (MoM) (Oktoba)	0.2%	0.2%
13:30		2 maki	CPI (YoY) (Oktoba)	2.6%	2.4%
13:30		2 maki	Memba na FOMC Kashkari Yayi Magana	---	---
14:30		2 maki	Memba na FOMC Williams Yayi Magana	---	---
17:00		2 maki	Hannun Hannun Makamashi na Gajeren Wa'adi na EIA	---	---
19:00		2 maki	Ma'auni na Kasafin Kudin Tarayya (Oktoba)	-226.4B	64.0B
21:30		2 maki	API Mako-mako Hannun Danyen Mai	---	3.132M

Takaitacciyar Abubuwan Tattalin Arziƙi masu zuwa a kan Nuwamba 13, 2024

1. Fihirisar Farashin Albashi na Ostiraliya (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
   Yana auna canje-canje kwata-kwata a cikin albashin Australiya, mai nuna matsi na hauhawar farashin kaya. Hasashen: 0.9%, Na baya: 0.8%. Haɓaka mafi girma na albashi zai goyi bayan AUD ta hanyar sigina ƙaƙƙarfan yanayin kasuwancin aiki, mai yuwuwar yin tasiri ga manufofin RBA.
2. Taron Manufofin Ba Kuɗi na ECB (08:00 UTC):
   Taron ya mayar da hankali kan batutuwan manufofin da ba na kuɗi ba, wanda har yanzu yana iya ba da haske game da ra'ayoyin ECB game da al'amuran tattalin arziki da ka'idoji. Iyakance tasiri nan da nan akan EUR sai dai idan an tattauna muhimman batutuwan tattalin arziki.
3. US Core CPI & CPI (YoY & MoM) (Oktoba) (13:30 UTC):

• Core CPI (YoY): Hasashen: 3.3%, Na baya: 3.3%.
• Core CPI (MoM): Hasashen: 0.3%, Na baya: 0.3%.
• CPI (MoM): Hasashen: 0.2%, Na baya: 0.2%.
• CPI (YoY): Hasashen: 2.6%, Na baya: 2.4%.
  Ƙididdiga masu tsauri ko haɓakar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki za su goyi bayan USD ta hanyar nuna matsi na farashin farashi, mai yuwuwar ƙara yuwuwar haɓaka ƙimar Fed nan gaba. Ragewa zai iya ba da shawarar sauƙaƙe hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, rage matsa lamba akan Fed.

1. Membobin FOMC Kashkari & Williams Suna Magana (13:30 & 14:30 UTC):
   Jawabin Neel Kashkari da John Williams na iya ba da ƙarin jagora game da hasashen Fed na hauhawar farashi da haɓakar tattalin arziki. Sharhin Hawkish zai goyi bayan USD, yayin da sautunan dovish na iya auna ta.
2. EIA Tsarin Makamashi Na ɗan gajeren lokaci (17:00 UTC):
   Ra'ayin makamashi na wata-wata daga Hukumar Kula da Makamashi ta Amurka, tana ba da cikakken bayanin hasashen kasuwar makamashi, wanda zai iya yin tasiri kan farashin mai da kuma kuɗin da ke da alaƙa da makamashi.
3. Ma'auni na Kasafin Kudin Tarayyar Amurka (Oktoba) (19:00 UTC):
   Yana auna rarar kasafin kudin gwamnatin tarayya ko gibi. Hasashen: -$226.4B, Na baya: $64.0B. Babban gibin zai nuna yawan kashe kuɗin gwamnati dangane da kudaden shiga, mai yuwuwar yin tasiri ga dalar Amurka ta hanyar ƙara damuwar bashi.
4. API ɗin Hannun Danyen Mai na mako-mako (21:30 UTC):
   Yana bin sauye-sauye na mako-mako a cikin abubuwan da aka gano na danyen mai na Amurka. Na baya: 3.132M. Rushewar kayayyaki zai nuna alamar buƙatu mai ƙarfi, mai yuwuwar tallafawa farashin mai, yayin da ginawa zai nuna ƙarancin buƙata, yana matsa lamba akan farashin.

Binciken Tasirin Kasuwa

• Fihirisar Ma'aikata na Ostiraliya:
  Haɓaka albashi mafi girma fiye da yadda ake tsammani zai tallafa wa AUD ta hanyar nuna hauhawar farashin kayayyaki a cikin kasuwar aiki, wanda zai iya haifar da ƙara ƙarfafa RBA. Ƙarancin haɓakar albashi zai ba da shawarar hauhawar farashi mai sauƙi, mai yuwuwar yin la'akari akan AUD.
• Bayanan CPI na Amurka:
  Ƙididdiga masu ƙarfi ko haɓakar CPI za su ƙarfafa damuwa game da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, tallafawa dalar Amurka ta hanyar haɓaka yuwuwar matsayin Fed na hawkish. Ƙananan bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki zai rage matsa lamba akan Fed, mai yuwuwar yin laushi da USD.
• Jawabin FOMC (Kashkari & Williams):
  Kalaman Hawkish za su goyi bayan USD ta hanyar ba da shawarar ƙarin ƙarfafa Fed, yayin da sharhin dovish na iya yin nuni da taka tsantsan, mai yuwuwar raunana kudin.
• EIA Short-Tem Energy Outlook & API Rude oil Stock:
  Hasashen ƙayyadaddun wadata ko ƙarin buƙatu a cikin rahoton EIA zai tallafawa farashin mai. Bayanan ƙirƙira API kuma yana tasiri farashin mai, tare da babban abin da ake tsammani zai goyi bayan farashin.
• Ma'auni na Kasafin Kudin Tarayyar Amurka:
  Babban rashi na iya yin la'akari da dalar Amurka ta hanyar haɓaka damuwa na dorewar kasafin kuɗi, yayin da ƙaramar ragi zai ba da shawarar haɓaka kasafin kuɗi, tallafawa kuɗin.

Gabaɗaya Tasiri

Volatility:
Maɗaukaki, wanda mahimman bayanan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki na Amurka (CPI), bayanan albashi daga Ostiraliya, da jawaban FOMC waɗanda za su yi tasiri ga kasuwannin kuɗi da kayayyaki.

Sakamakon Tasiri: 7/10, tare da rahoton CPI da sharhin Fed mai yiwuwa ya saita sautin don jagorancin USD, yayin da bayanan makamashi da sabuntawar ma'auni na kasafin kuɗi kuma za su yi tasiri ga jin dadi.